I present a video showing the current Greedometer sequence, mini Greedometer sequence and the resulting S&P500 forecast. I also present an estimate of when & what the Fed will do to stop/slow this crash. Among other things, this video will make it clear that you could have known in October 2007 that a crash was initiating.

The S&P500 forecast I present in the video assumes:

  • 4 Fed rate hikes this year
  • no European Central Bank rate hikes but their QE program will begin tapering late this year to early next year
  • more threats from the Bank of Japan to begin tapering its QE program
  • more intrusions from the People’s Bank of China to buy everything required to stop a stock market crash –for a few hours
  • the Swiss National Bank will continue to act like one of the largest long-only hedge funds on the planet and continue to buy U.S. stocks and equity index funds and futures
  • no new tax cut packages from anyone
  • someone at the Fed will threaten something new, large, and yummy in May –otherwise things get very real

Please share this with your friends in money management, risk management, or in the banking regulator space.