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Category Archives: greedometer

Can you quantify next year? Would you like to?

The past quarter has been a tough one if your portfolio was heavily tilted towards risk assets. You may be wondering what 2019 will look like. Well, the Greedometer algorithms say 2019 is going to be brutal. By the end of next week, the Greedometer algorithms will  have a pretty tight forecast for: the month the U.S. economy enters recession the scale of recession […] Read the rest of this entry »

The significance of this week: all good things must come to an end

All good things must come to an end. This includes central bankers propping up global asset markets. I’m assuming you know that central bank actions and threats of actions to “spike the punch bowl” have been nonstop over the past several years — frequently within 48 hours of me doing an interview or blog post that a drop was imminent and thus preventing the expected […] Read the rest of this entry »

This week: something that central banks have not allowed to happen since October 2014

I’ve been in the business (two businesses actually) of trying to profit from stock market drops and bounces for years. It was a lot easier before October 2014. Since then we’ve seen central banks do surprise intrusions every few weeks, laying waste to tactical long-short strategies. Here’s a chart showing the mini Greedometer 8 and 9 sequence. Even without any training in this system […] Read the rest of this entry »

A video showing the Fed stopping SPX drops in 2016

Here is mini Greedometer 11 sequence. It shows the Fed leading the charge, repeatedly stopping a drop and slowing the pace of an overall crash.  

Why I’m still working on my first $billion

One of the most frequent comments I get from website visitors is a skeptical query that goes something like this… “if this system is so great, why aren’t you a billionaire?”  Fair question.  Allow me to demonstrate. The last time central banks allowed a mini Greedometer sequence to be “locked in” was October 2014. In order for these algos/ this system to be used […] Read the rest of this entry »

Greedometer gauge adjusted

Hello all. With nearly 19 years of history/data, the Greedometer gauge had to be re-tuned this weekend. Price is not an input parameter, so this week’s 2575 SPX close is not a factor in this re-tuning. January 2014 saw the SPX in the 1840s with an associated Greedometer peak value at 7700.  This week saw the SPX close at 2575 with a Greedometer reading […] Read the rest of this entry »

SAS Day –> free access

Next Wednesday -April 19 2017- will be SAS day. Free access will be provided to anyone with a valid SAS email address and LinkedIn profile.  Observe what the Greedometer algos are quantifying. Use the contact form to inquire.  

Release the Dudley

Yesterday saw NY Fed Prez Bill Dudley say “the Fed is in no rush to hike” and they’re “not removing the punchbowl yet” “just adding a bit more fruit juice”. His words will reduce the slope of the mini Greedometer 11 baseline slightly, slowing the pace of the pending protracted crash. Interesting that Bill chose yesterday (well, this week) to make those supportive/calming statements […] Read the rest of this entry »

Myron Scholes meets the Greedometer

Yesterday I attended a conference about investing in alternative assets. The great Myron Scholes was the keynote speaker -and the main reason I attended. He is a brilliant and yet still approachable man. So approachable that I discussed the Greedometers (after we finished talking about Ontario Canada -where we’re both from), in particular how they identify points in time -not price- when a major […] Read the rest of this entry »

Panic insider selling

Insiders are continuing to accelerate their pace of selling. It has reached full-on panic. Last week saw insiders panic sell their shares at a pace 11.47X their buy pace on the NYSE.  Not broad enough? Across all U.S. exchanges, insiders panic dumped at an 8.02 pace last week.  Not long enough? Across all U.S. exchanges and for the past 8 weeks (since the start […] Read the rest of this entry »