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June 7 2019

  Pour a glass, pull up a chair, turn up the volume…

Quick but important Update

With all of last week’s data in (it takes until Tuesday afternoon to obtain input data for all Greedo / mini Greedo input parameters for the previous week), last week’s mini Greedo value is a smidge lower than what was estimated. This means the baseline is slightly steeper than I’ve been estimating. This  in turn means the pace of this protracted crash is slightly faster, so […] Read the rest of this entry »

Release the Bullard!

Yesterday morning before U.S. bourses opened, St Louis perma-dove Jim Bullard mentioned that a rate cut might be in order. Markets reacted as you’d expect. This intrusion (sugar bomb) is not surprising but it is inconvenient for us. We needed the Fed (& the other top 4 global central banks) to shut up this week, in order to be able to know whether last […] Read the rest of this entry »

SPX Forecast update a la Greedometer

  A brief update. Not looking good for the economy and stock market later this year. Looking downright brutal. Unless another large blue pill can be found. U.S. to enter recession approx September –absent a new sugar bomb. But I do expect another sugar bomb or two. Likely we’ll see the Fed announce rate cuts are coming (sb #1) in the next 6 weeks. Warp […] Read the rest of this entry »

Hard Million?

  They say the first million is the hardest. You’d likely be able to turn $9K into $1M in the next 9 months  – if: central banks let reality happen the Commander in Tweet stopped tweeting that things are about to be marvelous and yuge. Alas, neither of those is likely. But for those that like to dream, here’s how it could be done […] Read the rest of this entry »

Greedometer and S&P500 update: radar lock

  What a month! Because central banks did not drop sugar bombs the Greedometers were able to forecast the SPX reasonably well. Well enough for me to post a 60% gain on the month. Reminder –we must observe a mini Greedometer 1st baseline point to lock the sequence in, to lock the S&P500 forecast and US economic forecast. As of now, we do not […] Read the rest of this entry »

May 28 2019 Greedometer and S&P500 update

  With last week’s data now in, we pull the crank to the Greedometer algos and out pops last week’s values (as recent as it gets for this system). The updated Greedometer and mini Greedometer 13 sequence is shown in the video. Either next week or the week following will see Greedometer charts/videos move to the newsletter. You’ll be able to access it for […] Read the rest of this entry »

May 24 2019 update (pre market)

Hi all. (y’all?) Provided reality is permitted to happen (no central bank sugar bombs / Trump tweets of marvelousness and China trade deals about to be done) we will see the much anticipated mini Greedometer sequence 1st baseline point this week or next. Doubt it would be 2+ weeks out. Per the video, there remains a range of possibilities for this week’s close and […] Read the rest of this entry »

May 21 2019 Greedometer Newsletter

Hi All. Until I get the new login process going I’ll post updates to the blog. Here is what things look like now.   Greedometer 13 sequence   mini Greedometer 13 sequence   What this means: Forecasting a decidedly painful future for risk assets. Since the stock market is a mechanism to keep consumers blissfully unaware of the eroding fundamentals of our economy, central banks […] Read the rest of this entry »

View of Greedometers now: buckle up.

  Here is a short video showing the current Greedometer 13 and mini Greedometer 13 sequence.  It shows an expected SPX drop next week –unless something new and yummy comes from one of the top central banks –or unless the Commander in Tweet says a trade deal with China will happen this week.   This video explains how we got here.   At some […] Read the rest of this entry »