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Monthly Archives: May 2013

Greedometer Newsletter posted. Wow! A new all-time record bubble.

This week’s letter is posted.  It is full of data showing a wide stretch between the Fed-induced stock market bubble and regional Fed reports showing the U.S. economy at stall speed. Does the latest record-setting S&P500 bubble cause me concern or doubt about the forecast from the Greedometer and mini Greedometer?  Not one bit.  Actually, it aligns  rather well and reinforces the view that has […] Read the rest of this entry »

The Fed is tipping its hand: the QE party is going to end

Don’t look now, but Ben Bernanke is warning about excessive risk taking in financial markets, and the use of leverage. Ben is apparently watching for signs of bubbles in asset markets. “In light of the current low interest rate environment, we are watching particularly closely for instances of ‘reaching for yield’ and other forms of excessive risk-taking, which may affect asset prices and their […] Read the rest of this entry »

Welcome to the 2013 stock market top

Running out of gas. That’s how I’d describe the latest risk-on rally. I’ll go into this in more detail via examining several Greedometer current input values in this week’s newsletter. But when the market gets this far (nearly 150 points) above the 200-day exponential moving average -and this is somewhat rare- it runs out of gas.  (with thanks to investors intelligence for the data) […] Read the rest of this entry »

Acute Risk of Stock Market Collapse Initiating

The S&P500 was struggling to get through 1597 — having re-tested it 3 times over the past few weeks. The table was set for the market to begin collapsing if weak employment data came out yesterday.  Friday’s report changes little. The risk that has been building for the past 4 months remains acute. We discuss further in the paid portion of the Greedometer Newsletter […] Read the rest of this entry »

Greedometer Newsletter May 2 2013 posted

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